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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions183174120140160200220240260134158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
Teleop+46
Endgame+24
Fouls+24
AutonomousRed +13
6Leave3
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points17
33Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +59
11Coral scored#25
41Coral points90
3Processor algae#4
4Net algae#5
18Processor points24
16Net points20
34Algae points44
75Total teleop134
Reef
5L4#10
5L3#6
3L2#7
3L1 · trough#5
23Game pieces#37
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
0Foul points0
134Total score158

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7407
#25
77.92.9
76.173.2
Auto23.2
Teleop43.6
End11.1
blue by 0.4
78.40.7
74.173.4
Auto19.1
Teleop51.4
End7.9
Second
4311
#22
40.02.9
38.135.2
Auto7.3
Teleop24.2
End8.5
red by 0.5
8724
#27
39.50.7
40.339.6
Auto6.0
Teleop30.6
End2.9
Third
8889
#39
37.52.9
36.833.9
Auto9.0
Teleop26.2
End2.4
red by 4.4
151
#46
33.10.7
30.029.3
Auto8.8
Teleop25.1
End-0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
42%Coral oddsMissed76%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned65%Barge oddsMissed