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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions200166100150250194188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+14
+6Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave3
10Coral scored#9
48Coral points44
51Total auto47
TeleoperatedBlue +18
18Coral scored#31
65Coral points113
4Processor algae#1
7Net algae#4
24Processor points6
28Net points16
52Algae points22
117Total teleop135
Reef
12L4#14
6L3#12
6L2#8
4L1 · trough#6
39Game pieces#45
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points0
194Total score188

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.50.1
69.669.7
Auto22.0
Teleop38.1
End7.4
blue by 3.8
176
#7
71.31.4
64.465.8
Auto20.8
Teleop45.3
End5.3
Second
5142
#18
56.90.1
57.657.7
Auto12.7
Teleop36.7
End7.4
red by 5.9
131
#26
51.01.4
51.653.0
Auto11.5
Teleop35.7
End3.8
Third
6201
#43
53.00.1
54.054.1
Auto10.6
Teleop35.8
End6.6
red by 13.8
4572
#40
39.31.4
39.340.8
Auto11.5
Teleop24.3
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
59%Coral oddsEarned54%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned63%Barge oddsMissed