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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1621348010012018020022024014695

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+41Teleop
+51Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
3Leave0
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points6
30Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +17
15Coral scored#16
54Coral points59
3Processor algae#2
7Net algae#3
18Processor points12
28Net points12
46Algae points24
100Total teleop83
Reef
6L4#6
5L3#4
6L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
30Game pieces#22
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
0Foul points0
146Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
467
#30
58.90.2
53.253.0
Auto15.0
Teleop33.4
End10.5
blue by 5.0
58
#14
63.91.9
63.061.1
Auto11.6
Teleop43.2
End9.1
Second
236
#32
52.60.2
48.648.4
Auto9.0
Teleop36.3
End7.3
red by 8.5
3146
#20
44.11.9
41.039.1
Auto8.6
Teleop27.1
End8.4
Third
7869
#35
45.30.2
47.547.2
Auto5.2
Teleop38.3
End1.9
red by 28.6
5962
#47
16.81.9
19.417.5
Auto3.5
Teleop10.5
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed37%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned82%Barge oddsMissed