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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10311850150200108122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+12
Endgame+2
Fouls+14
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave6
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points13
13Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +6
16Coral scored#15
57Coral points55
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
6Processor points6
8Net points16
14Algae points22
71Total teleop77
Reef
8L4#8
4L3#3
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#23
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points12
108Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8046
#12
56.50.5
48.749.3
Auto11.5
Teleop36.7
End8.2
blue by 5.6
62.10.1
51.651.4
Auto12.6
Teleop41.1
End8.4
Second
177
#36
47.80.5
32.633.1
Auto10.9
Teleop27.8
End9.0
red by 13.8
6731
#48
34.00.1
30.530.3
Auto8.8
Teleop24.6
End0.6
Third
5962
#47
16.80.5
18.619.2
Auto3.5
Teleop10.5
End2.7
blue by 15.2
5112
#37
31.90.1
30.129.9
Auto4.6
Teleop25.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned49%Barge oddsEarned