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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10715950150200151195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+24
Endgame+44
Fouls+44
AutonomousBlue +8
9Leave9
3Coral scored#5
16Coral points24
25Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +16
18Coral scored#24
66Coral points86
4Processor algae#4
8Net algae#7
24Processor points24
32Net points28
56Algae points52
122Total teleop138
Reef
7L4#11
6L3#8
5L2#6
3L1 · trough#4
33Game pieces#40
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +44
0Foul points0
151Total score195

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5000
#24
55.82.2
46.949.0
Auto18.3
Teleop36.2
End1.2
blue by 19.2
74.92.3
67.970.3
Auto17.3
Teleop47.7
End10.0
Second
8085
#21
43.72.2
35.137.3
Auto5.8
Teleop31.2
End6.7
blue by 20.2
58
#14
63.92.3
52.855.2
Auto11.6
Teleop43.2
End9.1
Third
8023
#33
32.62.2
24.927.1
Auto3.7
Teleop24.9
End4.0
blue by 0.3
175
#34
32.82.3
27.930.2
Auto7.2
Teleop22.2
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsEarned36%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
60%Barge oddsMissed91%Barge oddsEarned