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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20914410025030023299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+29Auto
+117Teleop
+135Endgame
+133Fouls
AutonomousRed +29
6Leave0
9Coral scored#4
45Coral points22
51Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +88
34Coral scored#13
121Coral points45
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
18Processor points6
16Net points16
34Algae points22
155Total teleop67
Reef
12L4#5
15L3#3
10L2#5
6L1 · trough#4
50Game pieces#22
BargeRed +18
26Cage & park8
26Total endgame8
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +133
0Foul points2
232Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#8
81.01.9
76.578.5
Auto18.7
Teleop50.9
End11.5
red by 19.8
78
#13
61.23.2
59.456.2
Auto18.5
Teleop33.8
End9.0
Second
66.81.9
58.360.2
Auto16.8
Teleop45.1
End4.9
red by 22.2
173
#29
44.63.2
45.542.3
Auto9.3
Teleop33.6
End1.7
Third
1699
#11
62.91.9
62.764.7
Auto7.8
Teleop48.9
End6.2
red by 30.3
8023
#33
32.63.2
33.730.6
Auto3.7
Teleop24.9
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
61%Coral oddsEarned16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned75%Barge oddsMissed