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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85184050100150200250123193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+44
Endgame+68
Fouls+70
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave0
1Coral scored#6
7Coral points30
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +30
20Coral scored#23
71Coral points81
3Processor algae#5
4Net algae#6
18Processor points30
16Net points24
34Algae points54
105Total teleop135
Reef
7L4#11
5L3#5
6L2#7
3L1 · trough#6
28Game pieces#40
BargeBlue +24
2Cage & park26
2Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +70
0Foul points2
123Total score193

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6731
#48
34.01.7
31.933.6
Auto8.8
Teleop24.6
End0.6
blue by 41.0
74.91.2
74.776.0
Auto17.3
Teleop47.7
End10.0
Second
175
#34
32.81.7
30.832.5
Auto7.2
Teleop22.2
End3.3
blue by 36.2
138
#17
69.01.3
59.260.5
Auto17.1
Teleop41.9
End10.0
Third
5735
#41
29.21.7
24.025.7
Auto6.5
Teleop20.9
End1.8
blue by 2.8
5112
#37
31.91.2
27.128.3
Auto4.6
Teleop25.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsEarned54%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
59%Barge oddsMissed93%Barge oddsEarned