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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions129195100150250172184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+19Auto
Teleop+14
Endgame+16
Fouls+12
AutonomousRed +19
3Leave6
7Coral scored#3
35Coral points13
38Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +33
16Coral scored#28
58Coral points101
4Processor algae#3
6Net algae#5
24Processor points18
24Net points20
48Algae points38
106Total teleop139
Reef
6L4#13
8L3#10
6L2#3
3L1 · trough#5
33Game pieces#39
BargeBlue +2
24Cage & park26
24Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
4Foul points0
172Total score184

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3146
#20
44.12.4
39.141.5
Auto8.6
Teleop27.1
End8.4
blue by 18.0
62.10.4
61.061.4
Auto12.6
Teleop41.1
End8.4
Second
1757
#15
42.52.4
42.144.5
Auto8.2
Teleop26.7
End7.5
blue by 14.4
5142
#18
56.90.4
57.758.2
Auto12.7
Teleop36.7
End7.4
Third
151
#46
33.12.4
29.331.8
Auto8.8
Teleop25.1
End-0.8
blue by 6.9
4311
#22
40.00.4
35.235.6
Auto7.3
Teleop24.2
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
31%Coral oddsMissed45%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
71%Barge oddsEarned93%Barge oddsEarned