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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions151192100250300188212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+8
Endgame+18
Fouls+24
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave9
8Coral scored#6
38Coral points31
44Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +12
23Coral scored#28
82Coral points102
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#4
12Processor points12
24Net points16
36Algae points28
118Total teleop130
Reef
14L4#16
8L3#8
3L2#6
6L1 · trough#4
39Game pieces#40
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
0Foul points6
188Total score212

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
138
#17
69.02.5
60.563.0
Auto17.1
Teleop41.9
End10.0
blue by 12.0
88
#8
81.01.9
78.580.4
Auto18.7
Teleop50.9
End11.5
Second
467
#30
58.92.5
53.055.5
Auto15.0
Teleop33.4
End10.5
red by 7.9
131
#26
51.01.9
53.054.9
Auto11.5
Teleop35.7
End3.8
Third
6731
#48
34.02.5
33.636.1
Auto8.8
Teleop24.6
End0.6
blue by 11.9
8410
#16
45.91.9
43.845.7
Auto7.7
Teleop28.7
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed32%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned82%Barge oddsEarned