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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17110050150200250196137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+37Teleop
+59Endgame
+59Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave6
7Coral scored#5
37Coral points27
37Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +33
29Coral scored#21
103Coral points76
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
123Total teleop90
Reef
12L4#11
10L3#6
8L2#4
6L1 · trough#5
40Game pieces#29
BargeRed +22
36Cage & park14
36Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +59
0Foul points0
196Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7407
#25
77.92.0
73.275.2
Auto23.2
Teleop43.6
End11.1
red by 33.3
173
#29
44.61.7
42.344.0
Auto9.3
Teleop33.6
End1.7
Second
177
#36
47.82.0
41.643.6
Auto10.9
Teleop27.8
End9.0
red by 4.5
228
#28
43.31.7
40.742.4
Auto8.8
Teleop28.0
End6.5
Third
2713
#23
42.72.0
39.641.7
Auto8.3
Teleop27.2
End7.3
red by 26.0
5962
#47
16.81.7
17.519.2
Auto3.5
Teleop10.5
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
39%Coral oddsEarned9%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned48%Barge oddsEarned