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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17213350100150200250194145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+27Teleop
+49Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave0
6Coral scored#9
28Coral points44
37Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +34
23Coral scored#17
83Coral points61
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#5
18Processor points6
20Net points20
38Algae points26
121Total teleop87
Reef
11L4#11
8L3#8
5L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
37Game pieces#32
BargeRed +22
36Cage & park14
36Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +49
0Foul points0
194Total score145

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58
#14
63.92.1
61.163.2
Auto11.6
Teleop43.2
End9.1
red by 2.7
78
#13
61.21.1
56.257.4
Auto18.5
Teleop33.8
End9.0
Second
839
#38
59.52.1
53.155.3
Auto10.6
Teleop39.6
End9.3
red by 20.3
4572
#40
39.31.1
40.841.9
Auto11.5
Teleop24.3
End3.5
Third
8085
#21
43.72.1
41.944.0
Auto5.8
Teleop31.2
End6.7
red by 14.5
5735
#41
29.21.1
25.726.9
Auto6.5
Teleop20.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
65%Coral oddsMissed48%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned62%Barge oddsEarned