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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions181210150200250197200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+13
Endgame+1
Fouls+3
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
6Coral scored#7
31Coral points34
37Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +13
21Coral scored#23
74Coral points83
4Processor algae#4
9Net algae#10
24Processor points24
36Net points40
60Algae points64
134Total teleop147
Reef
10L4#14
8L3#8
3L2#4
6L1 · trough#4
40Game pieces#44
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points2
197Total score200

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#6
80.31.2
73.875.0
Auto20.1
Teleop50.3
End9.9
red by 5.4
74.90.5
76.075.5
Auto17.3
Teleop47.7
End10.0
Second
8046
#12
56.51.2
54.055.2
Auto11.5
Teleop36.7
End8.2
blue by 6.3
1699
#11
62.90.5
64.764.2
Auto7.8
Teleop48.9
End6.2
Third
8724
#27
39.51.2
39.640.8
Auto6.0
Teleop30.6
End2.9
blue by 16.3
5000
#24
55.80.5
53.252.8
Auto18.3
Teleop36.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
94%Coral oddsEarned86%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned93%Barge oddsEarned