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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions166233100150200250300175279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+74
Endgame+96
Fouls+104
AutonomousBlue +24
9Leave0
5Coral scored#11
24Coral points57
33Total auto57
TeleoperatedBlue +50
27Coral scored#24
96Coral points86
2Processor algae#6
5Net algae#14
12Processor points36
20Net points56
32Algae points92
128Total teleop178
Reef
10L4#17
8L3#6
9L2#7
5L1 · trough#5
39Game pieces#55
BargeBlue +22
14Cage & park36
14Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +104
0Foul points8
175Total score279

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.10.0
61.461.5
Auto12.6
Teleop41.1
End8.4
blue by 18.9
88
#8
81.03.3
80.483.6
Auto18.7
Teleop50.9
End11.5
Second
3146
#20
44.10.0
41.541.6
Auto8.6
Teleop27.1
End8.4
blue by 34.3
78.43.3
74.477.6
Auto19.1
Teleop51.4
End7.9
Third
5459
#31
40.90.0
41.541.6
Auto9.0
Teleop31.2
End0.7
red by 1.0
4311
#22
40.03.3
35.638.9
Auto7.3
Teleop24.2
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
72%Coral oddsEarned85%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
78%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned