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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14913750100200250184162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+22Teleop
+12Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave9
6Coral scored#4
28Coral points21
34Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +18
23Coral scored#21
84Coral points76
3Processor algae#4
8Net algae#4
18Processor points24
32Net points16
50Algae points40
134Total teleop116
Reef
14L4#7
7L3#8
5L2#6
3L1 · trough#4
40Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
10Foul points0
184Total score162

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5142
#18
56.92.0
58.260.1
Auto12.7
Teleop36.7
End7.4
red by 13.6
228
#28
43.32.3
42.444.6
Auto8.8
Teleop28.0
End6.5
Second
7869
#35
45.32.0
48.250.2
Auto5.2
Teleop38.3
End1.9
red by 2.8
1757
#15
42.52.3
44.546.8
Auto8.2
Teleop26.7
End7.5
Third
151
#46
33.12.0
31.833.8
Auto8.8
Teleop25.1
End-0.8
blue by 0.9
6731
#48
34.02.3
36.138.4
Auto8.8
Teleop24.6
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed23%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed90%Barge oddsEarned