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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions178149100200250158134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+22Teleop
+22Endgame
+24Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave9
5Coral scored#4
27Coral points21
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +22
24Coral scored#19
86Coral points68
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
6Processor points6
20Net points16
26Algae points22
112Total teleop90
Reef
8L4#6
6L3#7
8L2#5
7L1 · trough#5
35Game pieces#28
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
2Foul points0
158Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.80.9
62.161.2
Auto16.8
Teleop45.1
End4.9
red by 2.9
58
#14
63.90.9
63.262.3
Auto11.6
Teleop43.2
End9.1
Second
131
#26
51.00.9
54.954.0
Auto11.5
Teleop35.7
End3.8
red by 7.1
3464
#42
44.00.9
46.745.8
Auto7.5
Teleop34.8
End1.6
Third
173
#29
44.60.9
44.043.1
Auto9.3
Teleop33.6
End1.7
red by 12.7
5112
#37
31.90.9
28.928.0
Auto4.6
Teleop25.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
28%Coral oddsMissed21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsEarned56%Barge oddsEarned