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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions156208100250181247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+35
Teleop+54
Endgame+64
Fouls+66
AutonomousBlue +35
0Leave9
5Coral scored#10
23Coral points49
23Total auto58
TeleoperatedBlue +19
22Coral scored#28
80Coral points101
4Processor algae#3
7Net algae#8
24Processor points18
28Net points32
52Algae points50
132Total teleop151
Reef
13L4#17
9L3#10
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#6
38Game pieces#49
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +66
0Foul points2
181Total score247

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
839
#38
59.51.2
55.356.5
Auto10.6
Teleop39.6
End9.3
blue by 18.4
7407
#25
77.93.1
75.278.3
Auto23.2
Teleop43.6
End11.1
Second
236
#32
52.61.2
50.251.5
Auto9.0
Teleop36.3
End7.3
blue by 8.6
78
#13
61.23.1
57.460.4
Auto18.5
Teleop33.8
End9.0
Third
8410
#16
45.91.2
45.746.9
Auto7.7
Teleop28.7
End9.5
blue by 10.6
8046
#12
56.53.1
55.258.3
Auto11.5
Teleop36.7
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsEarned84%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned99%Barge oddsEarned