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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions174182140160200220156141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
+27Teleop
+15Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousBlue +15
0Leave3
3Coral scored#6
16Coral points28
16Total auto31
TeleoperatedRed +42
24Coral scored#19
86Coral points68
2Processor algae#0
7Net algae#4
12Processor points0
28Net points16
40Algae points16
126Total teleop84
Reef
9L4#9
8L3#5
7L2#8
3L1 · trough#3
36Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points0
156Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.90.5
75.575.0
Auto17.3
Teleop47.7
End10.0
blue by 1.7
76.61.7
75.774.0
Auto13.1
Teleop53.0
End10.5
Second
2713
#23
42.70.5
41.741.1
Auto8.3
Teleop27.2
End7.3
blue by 1.0
8085
#21
43.71.7
44.042.3
Auto5.8
Teleop31.2
End6.7
Third
238
#45
31.10.5
32.832.2
Auto3.6
Teleop26.1
End1.4
blue by 3.0
34.11.7
32.731.0
Auto8.0
Teleop18.5
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
81%Coral oddsEarned48%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned