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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions128106050150200103139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+30
Endgame+30
Fouls+36
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave0
2Coral scored#4
10Coral points20
16Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +26
13Coral scored#18
47Coral points63
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#6
6Processor points12
20Net points24
26Algae points36
73Total teleop99
Reef
6L4#11
3L3#6
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#30
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +36
0Foul points6
103Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6201
#43
53.01.3
53.552.2
Auto10.6
Teleop35.8
End6.6
red by 13.2
9443
#10
39.81.7
38.940.5
Auto5.1
Teleop25.8
End8.9
Second
8724
#27
39.51.3
40.839.5
Auto6.0
Teleop30.6
End2.9
red by 6.9
8023
#33
32.61.7
30.331.9
Auto3.7
Teleop24.9
End4.0
Third
5962
#47
16.81.3
19.217.9
Auto3.5
Teleop10.5
End2.7
blue by 12.4
5735
#41
29.21.7
26.928.5
Auto6.5
Teleop20.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
23%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned67%Barge oddsEarned