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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions167213100150200250194237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+37
Endgame+49
Fouls+43
Autonomouslevel
9Leave6
8Coral scored#9
42Coral points45
51Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +37
24Coral scored#33
87Coral points118
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#7
18Processor points12
16Net points28
34Algae points40
121Total teleop158
Reef
14L4#17
9L3#9
5L2#12
4L1 · trough#4
39Game pieces#51
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +43
8Foul points2
194Total score237

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
138
#17
69.02.0
63.065.0
Auto17.1
Teleop41.9
End10.0
blue by 11.3
195
#6
80.32.6
75.077.6
Auto20.1
Teleop50.3
End9.9
Second
5000
#24
55.82.0
52.854.8
Auto18.3
Teleop36.2
End1.2
blue by 15.6
176
#7
71.32.6
66.469.0
Auto20.8
Teleop45.3
End5.3
Third
8889
#39
37.52.0
33.735.7
Auto9.0
Teleop26.2
End2.4
blue by 13.0
172
#19
50.42.6
46.449.0
Auto13.3
Teleop29.6
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsMissed97%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
58%Barge oddsEarned99%Barge oddsEarned