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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136216100150200250300350132173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+21
Endgame+41
Fouls+41
AutonomousBlue +17
3Leave6
5Coral scored#8
24Coral points38
27Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +4
18Coral scored#20
65Coral points71
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
18Processor points12
16Net points20
34Algae points32
99Total teleop103
Reef
9L4#7
7L3#9
4L2#6
3L1 · trough#6
30Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +41
0Foul points0
132Total score173

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#26
51.00.7
54.053.4
Auto11.5
Teleop35.7
End3.8
blue by 30.0
88
#8
81.01.6
83.682.0
Auto18.7
Teleop50.9
End11.5
Second
3464
#42
44.00.7
45.845.1
Auto7.5
Teleop34.8
End1.6
blue by 12.6
8046
#12
56.51.6
58.356.7
Auto11.5
Teleop36.7
End8.2
Third
151
#46
33.10.7
33.833.1
Auto8.8
Teleop25.1
End-0.8
blue by 9.4
1757
#15
42.51.6
46.845.2
Auto8.2
Teleop26.7
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed76%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed97%Barge oddsEarned