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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions166136100150200250181127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+28Teleop
+42Endgame
+54Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave6
9Coral scored#3
44Coral points17
44Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +7
25Coral scored#17
91Coral points62
1Processor algae#4
3Net algae#4
6Processor points24
12Net points16
18Algae points40
109Total teleop102
Reef
18L4#9
6L3#4
4L2#4
6L1 · trough#3
38Game pieces#28
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +54
12Foul points0
181Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.80.8
61.261.9
Auto16.8
Teleop45.1
End4.9
red by 14.2
236
#32
52.60.6
51.550.9
Auto9.0
Teleop36.3
End7.3
Second
3146
#20
44.10.8
41.642.3
Auto8.6
Teleop27.1
End8.4
red by 10.1
6731
#48
34.00.6
38.437.8
Auto8.8
Teleop24.6
End0.6
Third
2713
#23
42.70.8
41.141.9
Auto8.3
Teleop27.2
End7.3
red by 11.6
238
#45
31.10.6
32.231.6
Auto3.6
Teleop26.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
45%Coral oddsEarned17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned65%Barge oddsMissed