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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1921245010015025018086

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+70Teleop
+94Endgame
+94Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
0Leave6
7Coral scored#2
37Coral points11
37Total auto17
TeleoperatedRed +50
25Coral scored#13
91Coral points47
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
6Processor points12
20Net points8
26Algae points20
117Total teleop67
Reef
14L4#4
7L3#4
8L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
38Game pieces#19
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +94
0Foul points0
180Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.90.1
75.074.8
Auto17.3
Teleop47.7
End10.0
red by 18.0
5142
#18
56.93.0
60.157.2
Auto12.7
Teleop36.7
End7.4
Second
839
#38
59.50.1
56.556.4
Auto10.6
Teleop39.6
End9.3
red by 18.6
5459
#31
40.93.0
41.638.6
Auto9.0
Teleop31.2
End0.7
Third
8724
#27
39.50.1
39.539.4
Auto6.0
Teleop30.6
End2.9
red by 22.8
5962
#47
16.83.0
17.914.9
Auto3.5
Teleop10.5
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
92%Coral oddsEarned32%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned46%Barge oddsMissed