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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14020650100250300166223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+45
Endgame+55
Fouls+57
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave0
5Coral scored#7
23Coral points37
26Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +34
27Coral scored#29
96Coral points104
2Processor algae#5
4Net algae#6
12Processor points30
16Net points24
28Algae points54
124Total teleop158
Reef
13L4#9
9L3#13
7L2#8
3L1 · trough#6
38Game pieces#47
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +57
0Foul points2
166Total score223

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6201
#43
53.01.0
52.253.2
Auto10.6
Teleop35.8
End6.6
blue by 10.9
58
#14
63.91.3
62.363.6
Auto11.6
Teleop43.2
End9.1
Second
4311
#22
40.01.0
38.939.8
Auto7.3
Teleop24.2
End8.5
blue by 22.9
1699
#11
62.91.3
61.262.4
Auto7.8
Teleop48.9
End6.2
Third
5112
#37
31.91.0
28.029.0
Auto4.6
Teleop25.8
End1.5
blue by 18.5
172
#19
50.41.3
49.050.2
Auto13.3
Teleop29.6
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed64%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned