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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13918950100250300121201

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+38
Teleop+82
Endgame+80
Fouls+80
AutonomousBlue +38
9Leave3
1Coral scored#10
4Coral points48
13Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +44
15Coral scored#32
54Coral points114
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
18Processor points6
20Net points16
38Algae points22
92Total teleop136
Reef
6L4#11
5L3#16
3L2#10
2L1 · trough#5
24Game pieces#47
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +80
0Foul points0
121Total score201

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7869
#35
45.31.1
50.249.1
Auto5.2
Teleop38.3
End1.9
blue by 26.0
176
#7
71.31.8
69.070.7
Auto20.8
Teleop45.3
End5.3
Second
228
#28
43.31.1
44.643.5
Auto8.8
Teleop28.0
End6.5
blue by 18.8
62.11.8
61.563.2
Auto12.6
Teleop41.1
End8.4
Third
175
#34
32.81.1
34.333.2
Auto7.2
Teleop22.2
End3.3
blue by 4.7
8889
#39
37.51.8
35.737.4
Auto9.0
Teleop26.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsMissed96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed71%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned77%Barge oddsEarned