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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions178206100150250300179238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+35
Endgame+55
Fouls+59
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave9
7Coral scored#8
35Coral points38
44Total auto47
TeleoperatedBlue +32
26Coral scored#21
93Coral points77
3Processor algae#7
2Net algae#8
18Processor points42
8Net points32
26Algae points74
119Total teleop151
Reef
14L4#10
9L3#8
5L2#7
5L1 · trough#4
38Game pieces#44
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +59
0Foul points4
179Total score238

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7407
#25
77.90.9
78.379.2
Auto23.2
Teleop43.6
End11.1
blue by 2.4
195
#6
80.32.9
77.680.5
Auto20.1
Teleop50.3
End9.9
Second
4572
#40
39.30.9
38.939.8
Auto11.5
Teleop24.3
End3.5
blue by 29.7
138
#17
69.02.9
65.067.9
Auto17.1
Teleop41.9
End10.0
Third
8023
#33
32.60.9
31.932.8
Auto3.7
Teleop24.9
End4.0
blue by 1.5
34.12.9
31.033.9
Auto8.0
Teleop18.5
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
52%Coral oddsEarned62%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned