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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions180182140160200220240200170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+22
+24Teleop
+24Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousBlue +22
6Leave9
3Coral scored#7
16Coral points35
22Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +46
32Coral scored#17
114Coral points62
4Processor algae#3
5Net algae#8
24Processor points18
20Net points32
44Algae points50
158Total teleop112
Reef
15L4#8
7L3#6
10L2#6
3L1 · trough#4
44Game pieces#35
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
6Foul points0
200Total score170

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.41.3
77.679.0
Auto19.1
Teleop51.4
End7.9
red by 10.8
67.50.3
67.767.4
Auto22.0
Teleop38.1
End7.4
Second
173
#29
44.61.3
43.144.4
Auto9.3
Teleop33.6
End1.7
blue by 11.1
5000
#24
55.80.3
54.854.5
Auto18.3
Teleop36.2
End1.2
Third
8085
#21
43.71.3
42.343.6
Auto5.8
Teleop31.2
End6.7
red by 3.9
9443
#10
39.80.3
40.540.3
Auto5.1
Teleop25.8
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
82%Coral oddsEarned44%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsEarned