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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions191171120140160180200220240260205126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+16Auto
+69Teleop
+79Endgame
+79Fouls
AutonomousRed +16
9Leave0
6Coral scored#5
30Coral points23
39Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +53
25Coral scored#16
90Coral points59
3Processor algae#2
8Net algae#4
18Processor points12
32Net points16
50Algae points28
140Total teleop87
Reef
10L4#6
9L3#7
7L2#4
5L1 · trough#4
42Game pieces#27
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +79
0Foul points0
205Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.61.7
74.776.4
Auto13.1
Teleop53.0
End10.5
red by 17.1
839
#38
59.52.7
56.453.7
Auto10.6
Teleop39.6
End9.3
Second
236
#32
52.61.7
50.952.6
Auto9.0
Teleop36.3
End7.3
red by 1.6
131
#26
51.02.7
53.450.7
Auto11.5
Teleop35.7
End3.8
Third
3146
#20
44.11.7
42.344.1
Auto8.6
Teleop27.1
End8.4
red by 1.6
1757
#15
42.52.7
45.242.5
Auto8.2
Teleop26.7
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
75%Coral oddsEarned44%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned92%Barge oddsEarned