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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions153151110120130140160170180190133162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+25
Endgame+35
Fouls+29
AutonomousBlue +17
9Leave6
4Coral scored#8
21Coral points41
30Total auto47
TeleoperatedBlue +8
14Coral scored#19
49Coral points67
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
18Processor points12
16Net points12
34Algae points24
83Total teleop91
Reef
7L4#7
4L3#7
4L2#6
3L1 · trough#7
25Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
6Foul points0
133Total score162

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5142
#18
56.90.5
57.256.6
Auto12.7
Teleop36.7
End7.4
blue by 4.3
78
#13
61.21.8
59.861.7
Auto18.5
Teleop33.8
End9.0
Second
4572
#40
39.30.5
39.839.3
Auto11.5
Teleop24.3
End3.5
blue by 16.5
5000
#24
55.81.8
54.556.4
Auto18.3
Teleop36.2
End1.2
Third
238
#45
31.10.5
31.631.1
Auto3.6
Teleop26.1
End1.4
red by 14.4
5962
#47
16.81.8
14.916.8
Auto3.5
Teleop10.5
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
39%Coral oddsMissed28%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsEarned66%Barge oddsEarned