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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions193155100250158144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+6
+14Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave0
5Coral scored#9
27Coral points44
30Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +8
19Coral scored#19
70Coral points68
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
90Total teleop82
Reef
11L4#12
4L3#8
4L2#4
5L1 · trough#4
28Game pieces#31
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
2Foul points2
158Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#8
81.00.8
82.081.3
Auto18.7
Teleop50.9
End11.5
red by 6.1
74.90.0
74.874.9
Auto17.3
Teleop47.7
End10.0
Second
177
#36
47.80.8
45.344.6
Auto10.9
Teleop27.8
End9.0
red by 10.3
8889
#39
37.50.0
37.437.5
Auto9.0
Teleop26.2
End2.4
Third
9443
#10
39.80.8
40.339.5
Auto5.1
Teleop25.8
End8.9
red by 10.6
5735
#41
29.20.0
29.229.2
Auto6.5
Teleop20.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
24%Coral oddsMissed74%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned80%Barge oddsEarned