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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions207191140160180200220240260189197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+4
Endgame+14
Fouls+8
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave3
9Coral scored#8
45Coral points41
54Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +14
22Coral scored#25
79Coral points89
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#5
18Processor points18
16Net points20
34Algae points38
113Total teleop127
Reef
8L4#15
13L3#10
4L2#4
6L1 · trough#4
38Game pieces#41
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
6Foul points0
189Total score197

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.40.7
79.078.3
Auto19.1
Teleop51.4
End7.9
red by 7.0
176
#7
71.30.8
70.771.5
Auto20.8
Teleop45.3
End5.3
Second
62.10.7
63.262.5
Auto12.6
Teleop41.1
End8.4
blue by 6.9
138
#17
69.00.8
67.968.7
Auto17.1
Teleop41.9
End10.0
Third
3464
#42
44.00.7
45.144.4
Auto7.5
Teleop34.8
End1.6
red by 1.2
2713
#23
42.70.8
41.942.7
Auto8.3
Teleop27.2
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
90%Coral oddsMissed67%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsEarned