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Red223
384763.1
86882.4
42295.7
Blue212
353878.3
632871.0
540679.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions264244150200300350223212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+15Teleop
+15Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
3Leave3
12Coral scored#7
62Coral points37
65Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +10
23Coral scored#20
82Coral points72
2Processor algae#4
9Net algae#11
12Processor points24
36Net points44
48Algae points68
130Total teleop140
Reef
14L4#8
10L3#9
6L2#5
5L1 · trough#5
46Game pieces#42
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +11
2Foul points6
223Total score212

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#4
95.70.6
97.296.6
Auto20.4
Teleop62.0
End13.3
red by 16.4
5406
#25
79.40.6
80.880.2
Auto19.3
Teleop49.1
End10.9
Second
868
#11
82.40.6
83.983.3
Auto20.3
Teleop49.4
End12.7
red by 4.2
78.30.6
79.779.2
Auto18.5
Teleop53.0
End6.8
Third
3847
#20
63.10.6
65.064.4
Auto10.8
Teleop44.5
End7.9
blue by 7.8
6328
#47
71.00.6
71.671.0
Auto15.4
Teleop46.0
End9.6