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Red237
29467.3
44975.4
393774.7
Blue226
12579.9
14879.1
614773.2
23%Model gave it77%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions218245150200300237226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+15Teleop
+5Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave6
8Coral scored#6
42Coral points31
48Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +4
25Coral scored#29
91Coral points103
5Processor algae#3
9Net algae#8
30Processor points18
36Net points32
66Algae points50
157Total teleop153
Reef
11L4#13
10L3#9
7L2#9
5L1 · trough#4
47Game pieces#46
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Penalties & totalRed +11
6Foul points0
237Total score226

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
#10
75.40.5
73.273.6
Auto13.2
Teleop52.8
End9.4
blue by 4.5
125
#55
79.90.1
80.179.9
Auto22.8
Teleop47.1
End10.0
Second
74.70.5
72.572.9
Auto15.8
Teleop49.6
End9.3
blue by 4.4
148
#5
79.10.1
79.279.1
Auto12.0
Teleop57.7
End9.4
Third
294
#37
67.30.5
65.165.5
Auto14.0
Teleop48.6
End4.7
blue by 5.9
6147
#16
73.20.1
73.473.2
Auto18.3
Teleop46.2
End8.7