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Red111
167653.0
55540.4
162615.2
Blue71
127932.4
811724.8
689710.6
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1316605010015020011171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+34Teleop
+34Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave6
4Coral scored#1
21Coral points3
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +13
15Coral scored#11
53Coral points40
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
71Total teleop58
Reef
6L4#4
4L3#4
5L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +40
6Foul points0
111Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.00.2
53.353.1
Auto12.4
Teleop32.8
End7.9
red by 20.6
1279
#10
32.40.1
32.532.4
Auto3.8
Teleop26.6
End2.0
Second
555
#17
40.40.2
40.740.5
Auto13.0
Teleop21.2
End6.2
red by 15.6
24.80.1
24.924.8
Auto2.5
Teleop21.7
End0.7
Third
1626
#14
15.20.2
15.415.2
Auto2.0
Teleop11.9
End1.3
red by 4.5
6897
#18
10.60.1
10.710.6
Auto3.2
Teleop6.8
End0.7