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Red118
80756.9
31654.9
901555.6
Blue141
167653.0
55540.4
162615.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1311196080100140160180118141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+5
Endgame+3
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave9
5Coral scored#7
27Coral points35
30Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +9
13Coral scored#15
48Coral points53
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
76Total teleop67
Reef
6L4#9
6L3#6
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#25
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +23
6Foul points26
118Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.60.1
55.755.6
Auto14.0
Teleop36.1
End5.5
red by 2.6
53.00.1
53.153.2
Auto12.4
Teleop32.8
End7.9
Second
316
#3
54.90.1
55.054.9
Auto15.7
Teleop34.5
End4.7
red by 14.5
555
#17
40.40.1
40.540.6
Auto13.0
Teleop21.2
End6.2
Third
8075
#21
6.90.1
7.06.9
Auto3.7
Teleop2.8
End0.4
blue by 8.3
1626
#14
15.20.1
15.215.3
Auto2.0
Teleop11.9
End1.3