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Red100
763618.3
802036.5
850346.4
Blue60
856911.9
816928.9
880626.4
71%Model gave it29%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions987505015020010060

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+26Teleop
+34Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
0Leave3
4Coral scored#1
18Coral points6
18Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +17
9Coral scored#8
34Coral points27
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
62Total teleop45
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#2
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#13
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
6Foul points0
100Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.40.4
35.335.8
Auto6.5
Teleop30.3
End9.5
red by 17.5
8169
#23
28.91.2
27.726.4
Auto4.5
Teleop23.9
End0.4
Second
36.50.7
32.132.9
Auto3.9
Teleop25.0
End7.6
red by 10.2
8806
#15
26.41.2
24.723.5
Auto3.9
Teleop17.3
End5.1
Third
7636
#30
18.30.7
14.214.9
Auto4.8
Teleop11.7
End1.7
red by 6.4
8569
#36
11.91.2
13.612.4
Auto3.6
Teleop7.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned56%Barge oddsMissed