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Red60
300820.6
763245.0
87909.3
Blue135
872539.6
912643.7
770945.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80100406012014016060135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+73
Endgame+75
Fouls+75
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave0
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points23
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +59
9Coral scored#23
33Coral points82
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
6Processor points12
12Net points16
18Algae points28
51Total teleop110
Reef
4L4#9
2L3#7
2L2#7
1L1 · trough#5
13Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +2
0Cage & park2
0Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +75
0Foul points0
60Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.01.6
34.933.4
Auto10.0
Teleop32.9
End2.0
blue by 0.1
45.15.4
32.137.5
Auto9.4
Teleop34.5
End1.2
Second
3008
#29
20.61.6
21.419.8
Auto3.9
Teleop16.5
End0.2
blue by 23.1
43.75.4
23.228.6
Auto13.9
Teleop27.6
End2.2
Third
8790
#35
9.31.6
14.813.2
Auto3.1
Teleop5.5
End0.7
blue by 30.3
39.65.4
28.433.8
Auto5.7
Teleop30.5
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsMissed64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed