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Red73
758923.8
1003414.8
749718.9
Blue37
1039011.8
1011423.1
713026.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions668040601001207337

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+8Teleop
+6Endgame
+36Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +8
6Coral scored#4
22Coral points14
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
0Processor points0
8Net points8
8Algae points8
30Total teleop22
Reef
2L4#1
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +36
30Foul points0
73Total score37

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7589
#10
23.81.6
17.015.4
Auto3.9
Teleop19.3
End0.6
blue by 2.8
7130
#20
26.53.5
25.522.0
Auto5.4
Teleop18.3
End2.8
Second
7497
#31
18.91.6
24.022.4
Auto3.6
Teleop13.8
End1.4
blue by 4.2
23.13.5
21.317.8
Auto3.9
Teleop15.3
End4.0
Third
14.81.6
16.114.5
Auto4.0
Teleop8.8
End2.1
red by 3.1
11.83.5
21.317.9
Auto3.6
Teleop6.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsMissed42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed57%Barge oddsMissed