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Red97
767320.3
872321.4
942740.6
Blue99
425347.1
950141.1
858418.5
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52980204060801201401609799

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+6Teleop
Endgame+4
Fouls+2
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave9
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points7
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +1
12Coral scored#13
42Coral points47
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
12Processor points12
12Net points8
24Algae points20
66Total teleop67
Reef
6L4#6
4L3#3
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
2Foul points0
97Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9427
#19
40.64.7
25.530.1
Auto11.4
Teleop28.9
End0.3
blue by 6.6
47.10.8
39.240.1
Auto12.5
Teleop27.2
End7.5
Second
8723
#37
21.44.7
15.820.5
Auto4.7
Teleop15.7
End1.0
blue by 19.6
9501
#14
41.11.4
31.633.0
Auto5.8
Teleop31.8
End3.5
Third
7673
#28
20.32.8
9.212.0
Auto3.4
Teleop14.2
End2.7
red by 1.8
8584
#24
18.51.4
12.513.9
Auto4.1
Teleop10.9
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed67%Barge oddsEarned