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Red102
53327.1
87047.9
155430.0
Blue122
202726.9
969237.2
287251.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9411050150200102122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+16
Endgame+14
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave0
3Coral scored#7
16Coral points37
16Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +5
12Coral scored#11
44Coral points39
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
12Processor points12
16Net points16
28Algae points28
72Total teleop67
Reef
7L4#9
2L3#3
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#24
BargeRed +2
14Cage & park12
14Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points6
102Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
870
#3
47.92.2
37.139.3
Auto10.8
Teleop30.2
End7.0
blue by 3.1
51.11.5
44.345.8
Auto14.1
Teleop32.6
End4.4
Second
1554
#41
30.02.2
18.821.0
Auto3.9
Teleop23.9
End2.1
blue by 7.2
9692
#11
37.22.1
30.432.4
Auto11.9
Teleop22.8
End2.5
Third
533
#32
27.11.8
26.428.1
Auto4.4
Teleop19.1
End3.6
red by 0.2
2027
#20
26.92.1
22.924.9
Auto4.8
Teleop19.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsMissed