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Red140
42438.4
69558.5
201031.2
Blue140
63938.5
222845.8
304448.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions135133100120140160180140140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+12
0Endgame0
0Fouls0
AutonomousBlue +8
3Leave9
5Coral scored#6
26Coral points28
29Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +4
15Coral scored#19
55Coral points67
2Processor algae#2
7Net algae#5
12Processor points12
28Net points20
40Algae points32
95Total teleop99
Reef
8L4#7
6L3#10
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#32
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totallevel
0Foul points0
140Total score140

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
695
#10
58.50.4
58.158.5
Auto13.3
Teleop42.1
End3.1
red by 10.0
3044
#11
48.50.4
45.946.4
Auto11.0
Teleop34.8
End2.7
Second
424
#5
38.40.4
38.038.4
Auto7.2
Teleop24.9
End6.4
blue by 7.4
45.80.4
43.243.7
Auto12.8
Teleop26.4
End6.6
Third
2010
#16
31.20.4
30.831.2
Auto6.9
Teleop21.8
End2.5
blue by 7.3
639
#18
38.50.5
35.836.3
Auto4.7
Teleop28.3
End5.5