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Red68
112627.0
234014.6
42437.1
Blue57
151826.6
300336.3
63930.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions871030501502002503006857

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+19Teleop
+11Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +26
9Coral scored#5
33Coral points17
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
53Total teleop27
Reef
5L4#3
2L3#1
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +11
0Foul points0
68Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
424
#12
37.10.3
38.638.2
Auto4.3
Teleop28.0
End4.8
red by 0.8
3003
#15
36.30.9
37.136.3
Auto7.4
Teleop21.7
End7.2
Second
1126
#13
27.00.3
28.428.1
Auto5.9
Teleop15.3
End5.8
blue by 3.4
639
#25
30.30.9
31.230.3
Auto4.1
Teleop22.1
End4.1
Third
2340
#21
14.60.3
16.015.7
Auto4.1
Teleop8.0
End2.5
blue by 12.0
1518
#10
26.60.9
27.526.6
Auto2.5
Teleop21.5
End2.6