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Red157
395050.1
279137.0
149349.4
Blue144
159151.7
691138.0
87064.5
24%Model gave it76%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136164100150200250157144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+27Teleop
+15Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave6
6Coral scored#5
30Coral points24
36Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +21
28Coral scored#22
99Coral points80
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
119Total teleop98
Reef
12L4#8
8L3#10
6L2#6
8L1 · trough#3
38Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points2
157Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3950
#14
50.10.6
48.048.6
Auto14.1
Teleop33.0
End2.9
blue by 14.5
870
#8
64.50.2
63.563.3
Auto15.5
Teleop38.9
End10.1
Second
1493
#21
49.40.6
47.347.9
Auto12.9
Teleop35.5
End1.0
blue by 2.3
1591
#11
51.70.2
50.750.5
Auto14.0
Teleop33.3
End4.4
Third
37.00.6
34.935.5
Auto6.4
Teleop27.5
End3.1
blue by 1.0
6911
#34
38.00.2
36.936.7
Auto4.0
Teleop31.4
End2.6