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Red196
179682.2
552844.6
662164.2
Blue181
412258.1
42445.0
19156.9
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions197166150250300196181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+17Teleop
+15Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
6Leave3
7Coral scored#7
35Coral points37
41Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +16
25Coral scored#26
89Coral points95
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#2
18Processor points12
24Net points8
42Algae points20
131Total teleop115
Reef
13L4#13
9L3#10
5L2#7
5L1 · trough#3
41Game pieces#37
BargeBlue +2
24Cage & park26
24Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points0
196Total score181

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
82.20.3
79.579.8
Auto22.4
Teleop49.2
End10.5
red by 24.1
58.10.5
57.658.1
Auto13.4
Teleop34.0
End10.7
Second
64.20.3
61.661.9
Auto12.5
Teleop41.5
End10.2
red by 7.3
191
#10
56.90.5
56.456.9
Auto17.4
Teleop35.2
End4.4
Third
5528
#29
44.60.3
41.942.2
Auto8.9
Teleop27.0
End8.8
blue by 0.4
424
#31
45.00.5
44.545.0
Auto7.1
Teleop30.4
End7.5