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Red200
301560.2
716529.2
414564.9
Blue150
696437.2
130830.9
217234.2
98%Model gave it2%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18811150100150200250200150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+44Teleop
+50Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave0
8Coral scored#6
42Coral points30
51Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +23
24Coral scored#20
87Coral points72
4Processor algae#2
6Net algae#7
24Processor points12
24Net points28
48Algae points40
135Total teleop112
Reef
8L4#10
10L3#6
7L2#6
7L1 · trough#4
42Game pieces#35
BargeRed +6
14Cage & park8
14Total endgame8
Penalties & totalRed +50
0Foul points0
200Total score150

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.90.6
64.865.3
Auto18.1
Teleop41.2
End5.6
red by 27.6
37.20.6
35.636.2
Auto11.2
Teleop17.8
End8.2
Second
3015
#22
60.20.6
60.160.6
Auto14.0
Teleop36.2
End9.9
red by 25.9
2172
#23
34.20.6
32.533.2
Auto7.6
Teleop24.7
End1.9
Third
7165
#26
29.20.6
29.129.7
Auto4.4
Teleop23.8
End1.0
blue by 1.7
1308
#17
30.90.6
29.229.9
Auto5.2
Teleop24.3
End1.4