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Red118
814511.2
415020.8
225242.8
Blue133
966816.5
131718.0
402871.0
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8211650100150200118133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+27
Endgame+27
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave3
1Coral scored#3
4Coral points13
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +24
19Coral scored#22
69Coral points79
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#4
12Processor points18
8Net points16
20Algae points34
89Total teleop113
Reef
10L4#8
5L3#7
3L2#6
2L1 · trough#4
24Game pieces#32
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
12Foul points0
118Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2252
#39
42.81.5
41.142.6
Auto12.1
Teleop30.6
End0.1
blue by 28.2
71.01.4
65.166.5
Auto21.0
Teleop43.0
End7.0
Second
4150
#22
20.81.5
16.618.1
Auto5.5
Teleop9.6
End5.7
red by 2.9
1317
#37
18.02.3
18.821.2
Auto3.9
Teleop13.6
End0.5
Third
8145
#46
11.22.0
16.318.3
Auto3.5
Teleop6.6
End1.1
blue by 5.3
9668
#19
16.52.3
13.916.2
Auto3.7
Teleop10.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsMissed76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
38%Barge oddsEarned57%Barge oddsMissed