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Red80
752522.1
136921.3
313819.7
Blue128
255627.4
581141.7
408524.2
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7595406012014080128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+46
Endgame+48
Fouls+48
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave9
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points14
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +39
10Coral scored#17
36Coral points61
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
50Total teleop89
Reef
5L4#8
3L3#5
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +48
0Foul points0
80Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7525
#20
22.10.4
28.929.2
Auto7.6
Teleop12.8
End1.7
blue by 19.6
41.74.5
29.333.8
Auto9.0
Teleop27.8
End5.0
Second
1369
#45
21.30.4
21.822.2
Auto3.5
Teleop14.8
End3.0
blue by 6.0
2556
#26Sur
27.43.0
20.823.8
Auto3.5
Teleop17.9
End5.9
Third
3138
#36Sur
19.70.4
12.412.8
Auto4.5
Teleop12.6
End2.6
blue by 4.5
4085
#43
24.24.5
26.130.6
Auto2.2
Teleop21.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsEarned49%Barge oddsEarned