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Red109
1001122.2
150764.4
12025.6
Blue84
332420.5
225242.8
79033.6
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134785010015020010984

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+19Teleop
+33Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
3Coral scored#4
17Coral points20
23Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +22
13Coral scored#11
46Coral points38
1Processor algae#0
5Net algae#3
6Processor points0
20Net points12
26Algae points12
72Total teleop50
Reef
5L4#3
5L3#5
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#18
BargeRed +14
14Cage & park0
14Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
0Foul points8
109Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.40.2
61.461.2
Auto12.2
Teleop43.4
End8.8
red by 21.6
2252
#39
42.80.2
40.941.1
Auto12.1
Teleop30.6
End0.1
Second
120
#24
25.60.3
30.730.4
Auto3.0
Teleop19.7
End2.9
red by 5.2
3324
#38
20.50.3
28.128.4
Auto4.2
Teleop15.4
End0.9
Third
22.20.2
19.719.5
Auto5.0
Teleop15.3
End1.8
red by 18.5
7903
#44
3.60.2
4.44.5
Auto2.8
Teleop0.6
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsMissed