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Red114
432942.8
566716.9
751537.3
Blue33
103818.4
814511.2
752522.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10780406010012014016018011433

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+77Teleop
+81Endgame
+81Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
9Leave6
4Coral scored#2
21Coral points9
30Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +62
11Coral scored#2
40Coral points6
2Processor algae#0
5Net algae#1
12Processor points0
20Net points4
32Algae points4
72Total teleop10
Reef
5L4#1
4L3#1
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#5
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +81
6Foul points6
114Total score33

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4329
#10
42.81.3
41.743.0
Auto9.0
Teleop32.7
End1.1
red by 20.6
7525
#20
22.12.8
28.525.7
Auto7.6
Teleop12.8
End1.7
Second
7515
#14
37.31.3
32.233.5
Auto7.4
Teleop25.8
End4.1
red by 18.9
1038
#31
18.42.8
24.021.2
Auto3.7
Teleop14.4
End0.4
Third
5667
#25
16.91.3
14.816.1
Auto3.7
Teleop11.6
End1.6
red by 5.7
8145
#46
11.24.7
17.012.3
Auto3.5
Teleop6.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed