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Red44
408524.2
822214.8
101419.2
Blue114
278354.6
976715.1
415020.8
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions639420408012014044114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+52
Endgame+70
Fouls+70
AutonomousBlue +21
9Leave3
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points27
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +31
5Coral scored#11
19Coral points40
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
6Processor points12
4Net points8
10Algae points20
29Total teleop60
Reef
3L4#6
1L3#4
1L2#4
0L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +18
6Cage & park24
6Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +70
0Foul points0
44Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4085
#43
24.22.6
27.324.7
Auto2.2
Teleop21.4
End0.5
blue by 30.5
2783
#12
54.61.7
49.751.4
Auto18.8
Teleop27.0
End8.9
Second
1014
#30
19.22.6
17.715.1
Auto4.6
Teleop12.4
End2.1
blue by 1.7
4150
#22
20.81.7
17.619.3
Auto5.5
Teleop9.6
End5.7
Third
8222
#32
14.82.6
13.611.0
Auto4.4
Teleop7.1
End3.4
blue by 0.3
9767
#40
15.11.7
12.714.4
Auto3.6
Teleop8.7
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsMissed46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed87%Barge oddsEarned