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Red104
630220.1
313819.7
603227.8
Blue90
907519.2
696428.5
54719.9
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57780204010012014016010490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+14Teleop
+6Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +11
12Coral scored#13
44Coral points47
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
72Total teleop61
Reef
6L4#7
2L3#3
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
14Foul points6
104Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6032
#15
27.81.9
16.218.2
Auto6.4
Teleop16.9
End4.4
blue by 0.8
6964
#16
28.50.2
26.226.1
Auto8.3
Teleop14.5
End5.8
Second
6302
#21
20.11.2
18.819.9
Auto4.6
Teleop13.3
End2.2
red by 0.3
547
#35
19.90.2
20.920.8
Auto4.3
Teleop11.0
End4.5
Third
3138
#36
19.71.2
14.315.5
Auto4.5
Teleop12.6
End2.6
red by 0.5
9075
#42
19.20.2
16.616.5
Auto1.8
Teleop13.3
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed58%Barge oddsEarned